ارزیابی دو روش تجربی و مدل‌های شبکه عصبی مصنوعی برای برآورد تابش خورشید رسیده به زمین- مطالعه موردی در جنوب شرق تهران

Daily solar radiation intercepted at the earth’s surface is an input required for water resources, environmental and agricultural studies. However, the measurement of this parameter can only be done in a few places. This has led researchers to develop a number of methods for estimating solar radiation based on frequently available meteorological records such as hours of sunshine or air temperature. In this study two empirical Angestrom and Hargreaves- Samani models, which are respectively based on air temperature and sunshine duration were calibrated and evaluated for estimating solar radiation in southeast of Tehran, Iran. Also, two neural networks models were presented using similar inputs and above-mentioned empirical models. The results showed that the both empirical and neural network models provided closer agreement with the measured values, but the models based on sunshine hours gave better estimates than the models based on air temperature. The neural network model based on sunshine hours with a R2 of 0.97 and a RMSE of 1.34 MJ m-2 d-1 provided the best results